2 00:00:05,857 --> 00:00:12,680 We can't see or taste CO2. 3 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,450 The thing that really bothers us is the temperature. 4 00:00:15,450 --> 00:00:21,190 A natural evolution of this was to graduate to temperature targets. 5 00:00:21,190 --> 00:00:26,620 What does it take to keep earth's temperature at some given level? 6 00:00:26,620 --> 00:00:31,680 some kind of a benchmark? The European Union has taken 2 degrees C 7 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:36,160 as a target temperature change. 8 00:00:36,160 --> 00:00:40,970 Two degrees C is warmer than the earth has been in millions of years. 9 00:00:40,970 --> 00:00:44,730 It's warmer than it has been the whole time that 10 00:00:44,730 --> 00:00:49,160 civilized humanity has existed, with agriculture, 11 00:00:50,756 --> 00:00:57,225 so a more conservative temperature target is advocated by Jim Hanson. 12 00:00:57,225 --> 00:01:00,270 One degree C is within the natural 13 00:01:00,270 --> 00:01:05,020 range of climate variability throughout the 14 00:01:05,020 --> 00:01:06,910 period of time covered by the 15 00:01:06,910 --> 00:01:10,450 ice cores, the last hundreds of thousands of years. 16 00:01:10,450 --> 00:01:16,300 And if we could keep Earth to within one degree C, it decreases 17 00:01:16,300 --> 00:01:22,960 the odds of provoking some kind of a slow Earth system feedback. 18 00:01:22,960 --> 00:01:25,520 Like the collapse of ice sheets, 19 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:29,290 the release of extra carbon from melting permafrost, 20 00:01:29,290 --> 00:01:33,860 and methane hydrates in the ocean, changes in ocean chemistry. 21 00:01:33,860 --> 00:01:37,052 All kinds of scary things that are 22 00:01:37,052 --> 00:01:40,748 outside what's happened in the last half 23 00:01:40,748 --> 00:01:43,604 a million years, we could avoid if we could 24 00:01:43,604 --> 00:01:47,220 keep the temperature to one degree C or less.