Evaluation 580 by Anon (session_user_id: e4d69ea783f02aa97787efb74b5c8fcf10bf488e)
What is your overall decision about this article?
7
Are the data stations well quality-controlled?
The models have back-predicted virtually identical temperatures, so the predictions seem pretty stable for that region.
Are the selection criteria for the stations well explained? Or, if this project does not have to do with time series met. stations, are the premises of the project well thought out and explained? Is it a topic of special interest? (It doesn't have to be, but if it is, say so).
The premise appeared to be that the glacier has been shrinking, and that this is correlated with increasing temperatures over the last century. The report went on to predict the range of future temperature changes and its likely impact on the glacier.
Are the conclusions of the report quantitatively supported by the data?
The increasing temp trend certainly appears to correlate with the decreasing glacier - and predicted further increases seem likely to continue the melting. However, after a sharp decrease over 50 years, the length seems to have stabilised, even though the temp trend continues to rise. So perhaps there are other mechanisms at work that would limit damage even from further rises - or there could be another sudden decrease if another tipping point is reached?