PBDB Short Course in Analytical Paleobiology (Foote's module 23 July - 27 July, 2007)

READINGS

23 July

Raup, D.M. 1985. Mathematical models of cladogenesis. Paleobiology 11:42-52.
Nee, S. 2007. Birth-death models in macroevolution. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 37:1-17.

25 July
Foote, M. and D. M. Raup. 1996. Fossil preservation and the stratigraphic ranges of taxa. Paleobiology 22:121-140.

27 July
Foote, M. 2005. Pulsed origination and extinction in the marine realm. Paleobiology 31:6-20
Foote, M. 2007. Extinction and quiescence in marine animal genera. Paleobiology 33:261-272.

NOTES
I. Preliminaries and general introduction to birth-death (branching) models
I. Figures
II. Applications of homogeneous birth-death model: examples of forward modeling
II. Figures
III. Introduction to inverse problems (rate estimation): non-hierarchical
III. Figures
IV. Inverse problems with hierarchical models
IV. Figures
IV.B. Introduction to Likelihood
V. Introduction to homogeneous sampling models
V. Figures
VI. Some applications of homogeneous sampling models
VI. Figures
VII. Overview of time-varying sampling and branching models
VII. Figures
VIII. Inverse procedure: Use of time-varying models to estimate true time series of p, q,and r
VIII. Figures

EXERCISES

23 July

Exercise 1: Branching simulations

24 July

Exercise 2: Survivorship analysis

24 July

Exercise 3: Estimating sampling probabilities

CODE
Discrete-time branching and extinction simulation
Continuous-time branching and extinction simulation
Code to read presences.txt file, convert to list of first and last appearances, calculate origination and extinction rates, and estimate standard errors via bootstrapping
Code to read firstlast.txt file, convert to cohort survivorship table, and conduct survivorship analysis
Code to read firstlast.txt file, convert to dynamic survivorship table, and conduct survivorship analysis
Code to read presences.txt file and estimate sampling probabilities from gaps in ranges
Code to read Sepkoski FO-LO files and jointly estimate extinction rate and sampling probability

LISTS OF FIRST AND LAST APPEARANCES OF GENERA FROM SEPKOSKI'S COMPENDIUM

List of corresponding stage names (Tommotian=1,...,Recent=79)

Paired first and last appearances for all genera in the Compendium
Paired first and last appearances for Mollusca
Paired first and last appearances for Cephalopoda
Paired first and last appearances for Bivalvia
Paired first and last appearances for Gastropoda
Paired first and last appearances for Brachiopoda
Paired first and last appearances for Echinodermata
Paired first and last appearances for Crinoidea
Paired first and last appearances for Echinoidea
Paired first and last appearances for Bryozoa
Paired first and last appearances for Trilobita
Paired first and last appearances for Malacostraca
Paired first and last appearances for Porifera
Paired first and last appearances for Anthozoa