Biography
Research Interests
Prof. Shaw’s research focuses on the physics of the atmosphere and climate system past, present and future. She seeks to understand the underlying mechanisms controlling the response to climate changes so that we can have greater confidence in climate predictions. Her approach combines theory (primarily conservation laws), numerical modeling across a hierarchy of complexity and observational data analysis. Using this approach Prof. Shaw has shown moist thermodynamics can explain why climate zones shift latitudinally in response to anthropogenic emissions and surface albedo changes can explain why the atmospheric circulation weakens in response to Arctic sea ice loss. A recent focus has been comparing expectations of climate change from theory and numerical climate prediction to real world signals in order to advance basic understanding.
Selected Publications
Kang, J., R. Thomas, N. Dunstone, T. A. Shaw and T. Woollings, 2025: Robust impact of tropical Pacific SST trends on global and regional circulation in boreal winter, npj climate and atmospheric science
Shaw, T. A. and O. Miyawaki, 2025: Moist Adiabatic Scaling Explains Mean and Fast Upper-Level Jet Stream Wind Response to Climate Change, Geophys. Res. Lett.
Shaw, T. A. and B. Stevens, 2025: The other climate crisis, Nature. Press: MPI-M
Simpson, I. R, T. A. Shaw and Coauthors, 2025: Confronting Earth System Model trends with observations, Science Advances.
Shaw, T. A., J. M. Arblaster, and Coauthors, 2024: Emerging climate change signals in atmospheric circulation, AGU Advances. Press coverage: EOS highlight
Kang, J., T. A. Shaw, S. Kang, I. R. Simpson and Y. Yu 2024: Revisiting the reanalysis-model discrepancy in Southern Hemisphere winter storm track trends, npj climate and atmospheric science.
Kang, J., T. A. Shaw and L. Sun 2024: Aerosols Have Significantly Weakened the Regional Summertime Circulation in the Northern Hemisphere During the Satellite Era, AGU Advances. Press coverage: EOS highlight
Shaw, T. A., O. Miyawaki, 2023: Fast upper-level jet stream winds get faster under climate change, Nature Climate Change. Press coverage: National Geographic, The Atlantic, UChicago News, Carbon Brief Guest Post
Shaw, T. A., O. Miyawaki, O., and A. Donohoe, 2022: Stormier Southern Hemisphere induced by topography and ocean circulation, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. Press coverage: Washington Post, WBEZ, UChicago News, Carbon Brief Guest Post
Honors