Biography
Research Interests
Prof. Shaw’s research focuses on the physics of the atmosphere and climate system past, present and future. She seeks to understand the underlying mechanisms controlling the response to climate changes so that we can have greater confidence in climate predictions. Her approach combines theory, numerical modeling across a hierarchy of complexity and observational data analysis. Using this approach Prof. Shaw has shown moist thermodynamics can explain why fast jet stream winds get faster, the jet stream gets wavier and climate zones shift poleward in response to anthropogenic emissions. A recent focus has been comparing expectations of climate change from theory and numerical climate prediction to real world signals in order to advance basic understanding.
Open Positions
Selected Publications
Rucker, K., I. Baxer, P. Hassanzadeh, K. Rucker, T. A. Shaw, H. A. Pahlavan, 2026: Benchmarking Regional Thermodynamic Trends in an AI Emulator, ACE2, and a Hybrid Model, NeuralGCM, Geophys. Res. Lett.
Baxter, I., H. A. Pahlavan, P. Hassanzadeh, K. Rucker, T. A. Shaw, 2026: Benchmarking Atmospheric Circulation Variability in an AI Emulator, ACE2, and a Hybrid Model, NeuralGCM, Geophys. Res. Lett.
Kang, J., R. Thomas, N. Dunstone, T. A. Shaw and T. Woollings, 2025: Robust impact of tropical Pacific SST trends on global and regional circulation in boreal winter, npj climate and atmospheric science
Shaw, T. A. and O. Miyawaki, 2025: Moist Adiabatic Scaling Explains Mean and Fast Upper-Level Jet Stream Wind Response to Climate Change, Geophys. Res. Lett., Press: AGU
Shaw, T. A. and B. Stevens, 2025: The other climate crisis, Nature. Press: MPI-M
Simpson, I. R, T. A. Shaw and Coauthors, 2025: Confronting Earth System Model trends with observations, Science Advances.
Shaw, T. A., J. M. Arblaster, and Coauthors, 2024: Emerging climate change signals in atmospheric circulation, AGU Advances. Press coverage: EOS highlight
Shaw, T. A., O. Miyawaki, 2023: Fast upper-level jet stream winds get faster under climate change, Nature Climate Change. Press coverage: National Geographic, The Atlantic, UChicago News, Carbon Brief Guest Post
Shaw, T. A., O. Miyawaki, O., and A. Donohoe, 2022: Stormier Southern Hemisphere induced by topography and ocean circulation, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. Press coverage: Washington Post, WBEZ, UChicago News, Carbon Brief Guest Post
Honors