Biography
Research Interests
Prof. Shaw’s research focuses on the physics of the atmosphere and climate system past, present and future. She seeks to understand the underlying mechanisms controlling the response to climate changes so that we can have greater confidence in climate predictions. Her approach combines theory (primarily conservation laws), numerical modeling across a hierarchy of complexity and observational data analysis. Using this approach Prof. Shaw has shown moist thermodynamics can explain why climate zones shift latitudinally in response to anthropogenic emissions and surface albedo changes can explain why the atmospheric circulation weakens in response to Arctic sea ice loss. A recent focus has been comparing expectations of climate change from theory and numerical climate prediction to real world signals in order to advance basic understanding.
Selected Publications
Shaw, T. A., J. M. Arblaster, and Coauthors, 2024: Emerging climate change signals in atmospheric circulation, AGU Advances, 10.22541/essoar.171440118.83921530/.
Shaw, T. A., P. A. Arias, and Coauthors, 2024: Regional Climate Change: Consensus, discrepancies and ways forward, Frontiers Climate, 10.3389/fclim.2024.1391634.
Kang, J., T. A. Shaw, Kang, S., Simpson, I. R. and Y. Yu 2024: Revisiting the reanalysis-model discrepancy in Southern Hemisphere winter storm track trends, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 10.22541/essoar.171224128.81410474/v1.
Shaw, T. A., O. Miyawaki, O., 2023: Fast upper-level jet stream winds get faster under climate change, Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-023-01884-1 Press coverage: National Geographic, The Atlantic, UChicago News, Carbon Brief Guest Post
Kang, J., T. A. Shaw and L. Sun, 2023: Arctic Sea Ice Loss Weakens Northern Hemisphere Summertime Storminess but Not Until the Late 21st Century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 10.1029/2022GL102301.
Shaw, T. A., O. Miyawaki, O., and A. Donohoe, 2022: Stormier Southern Hemisphere induced by topography and ocean circulation, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 10.1073/pnas.2123512119. Press coverage: Washington Post, WBEZ, UChicago News, Carbon Brief Guest Post
Miyawaki, O., T. A. Shaw and M. F. Jansen, 2021: Quantifying energy balance regimes in the modern climate, their link to lapse rate regimes, and their response to warming, J. Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0440.1.
A full list of publications can be found here.
Honors