Elisabeth Moyer

Associate Professor, Atmospheric Science

The University of Chicago
Department of Geophysical Sciences

Selected Publications

Publications fall into three broad categories: 1) climate statistics and climate impacts; 2) energy and climate policy; 3) water isotopic composition, cirrus clouds, and technologies for their measurement


"Energy Transitions in U.S. History, 1800-2019." R. Suits, N. Matteson, E. Moyer. Submitted to PNAS, 2020.

"Robust decrease in ENSO amplitude under long-term warming." C. W. Callahan, C. Chen, M. Rugenstein, J. Bloch-Johnson, S. Yang, E. J. Moyer. in revision at Nature Climate Change., 2020.

"Reanalyses and a high-resolution model fail to capture the `high tail' of CAPE distributions." Z. Wang, J. A. Franke, Z. Luo, and E. J. Moyer. submitted to J. Climate, 2020.

"Changes in future precipitation mean and variability across scales." K. Schwarzwald, A. Poppick, M. Rugenstein, J. Bloch-Johnson, J. Wang, D. McInerney, E. J. Moyer. accepted at J. Climate, 2020.

"No anomalous supersaturation in ultracold cirrus laboratory experiments." B. W. Clouser, K. D. Lamb, L. C. Sarkozy, J. Habig, V. Ebert, H. Saathoff, O. Möhler, E. J. Moyer. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 20, 2020.

"The Chicago Water Isotope Spectrometer (ChiWIS-lab): A tunable diode laser spectrometer for chamber-based measurements of water vapor isotopic evolution during cirrus formation." L. C. Sarkozy, B. W. Clouser, K. D. Lamb, E. J. Stutz, H. Saathoff, O. Möhler, V. Ebert, E. J. Moyer. Rev. Sci. Instrum.91, 2020.

"The GGCMI Phase II emulators: global gridded crop model responses to changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen (version 1.0)" J. Franke, C. Müller, J. Elliott, A. C. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, A. Snyder, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, R. C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T. A. M. Pugh, A. Reddy, K. Williams, Z. Wang, F. Zabel, F., and E. Moyer. Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 2020.


"The GGCMI Phase II experiment: global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0)." J. Franke, C. Müller, J. Elliott, A. C. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, J. Balkovic, P. Ciais, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, M. Hoffmann, R. C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, M. Koch, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T. A. M. Pugh, A. Reddy, X. Wang, K. Williams, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer. Geosci. Model Dev., 2019.

"Cloud Classification with Unsupervised Deep Learning." T. Kurihana, I. Foster, R. Willett, S, Jenkins, K. Koenig, R. Werman, R. B. Lourenco, C. Neo, and E. Moyer. 9th International Workshop on Climate Informatics., 2019.

"Future climate emulations using quantile regressions on large ensembles." M. A. Haugen, M. L. Stein, R. L. Sriver, & E. J. Moyer. Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceonogr. 5, 2019.


"Improved light collection in OA-ICOS cells using non-axially-symmetric optics." B. W. Clouser, L. Sarkozy, E. J. Moyer. Applied Optics 57, 2018.

"Estimating changes in temperature distributions in a large ensemble of climate simulations using quantile regression." M. A. Haugen, M. L. Stein, E. J. Moyer, and R. L. Sriver. Journal of Climate.31, 2018.

"Diagnosing added value of convection-permitting regional models using precipitation event identification and tracking." W. Chang, J. Wang, J. Marohnic, V. R. Kotamarthi, and E. J. Moyer. Clim. Dyn. 55, 2018.


"The infuence of model resolution on temperature variability."J. M. Klavans, A. Poppick, S. Sun, and E. J. Moyer. Clim. Dyn.48, 2017.

"Laboratory measurements of HDO/H2O isotopic fractionation during ice deposition in simulated cirrus clouds." K.D. Lamb, B.W. Clouser, M. Bolot, L. Sarkozy, V. Ebert, H. Saathoff, O. Möhler, E.J. Moyer. PNAS 114, 2017.

"Estimating trends in the global mean temperature record." A. Poppick, E.J. Moyer, M.L. Stein.ASCMO 3, 2017.

"Isotopic profiles imply strong convective influence on water near the tropical tropopause." M. Bolot, B. Legras, K.A. Walker, C.D. Boone, P. Bernath, W.G. Read, E.J. Moyer. in revision for ACP (arXiv:1612.01900), 2017.


“Changes in spatio-temporal precipitation patterns in changing climate conditions.” W. Chang, M.L. Stein, J. Wang, V.R. Kotamarthi, E.J. Moyer. J. Climate 29, 2016.

“Temperatures in transient climates: improved methods for simulations with evolving temporal covariances.” A. Poppick, D.J. McInerney, E.J. Moyer, M.L. Stein. Annals of Appl. Stat., 10, 2016.

“Derivation of physical and optical properties of mid-latitude cirrus ice crystals for a size-resolved cloud microphysics model.” A.M. Fridlind, R. Atlas, B. van Diedenhoven, J. Um, G.M. McFarquhar, A.S. Ackerman, E.J. Moyer, R.P. Lawson. ACP 16, 2016.

“Estimating changes in temperature extremes from millennial-scale climate simulations under generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions.” W.K. Huang, M.L. Stein, D.J. McInerney, S. Sun, E.J. Moyer. ASCMO 2, 2016

“Evaluating the sensitivity of agricultural model performance to different climate inputs.” M.J. Glotter, E.J. Moyer, A.C. Ruane, J.W. Elliott. J. Appl. Meteo. ∧ Climat. 55, 2016.


“Simulation of future climate under changing temporal covariance structures.” W.B. Leeds, E.J. Moyer, and M.L. Stein. ASCMO 1, 2015.


“Climate impacts on economic growth as drivers of uncertainty in the social cost of carbon.” E.J. Moyer, M.D. Woolley, M.J. Glotter, N.M. Matteson, and D.A. Weisbach. J. Legal Studies 43, 2014.

“A simple carbon cycle representation for economic and policy analyses.” M.J. Glotter, R.T. Pierrehumbert, J.W. Elliott, N.J. Matteson, and E.J. Moyer. Climatic Change 126, 2014.

“Evaluating the utility of dynamical downscaling in agricultural impacts projections.” M.J. Glotter, J.W. Elliott, D.M. McInerney, N. Best, D. Kelly, I.T. Foster, and E.J. Moyer. PNAS 111, 2014.

“Statistical emulation of climate model projections based on precomputed GCM runs.” S. Castruccio, D.J. McInerney, M.L. Stein, F. Liu, R.L. Jacob, E.J. Moyer. J. Clim. 14, 2014.


“Modelling and intepreting the isotopic composition of water vapour in convective updrafts.” M. Bolot, B. Legras, E.J. Moyer. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 2013.

“CIM-EARTH: Framework and case study.” J.W. Elliott, I.T. Foster, K.L. Judd, E.J. Moyer, T.S. Munson. B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy 10, 2010. Also published as a chapter in “Distributional aspects of climate and energy policies”, M.A. Cohen, D. Fullerton, R.H. Topel, eds., Edward Elgar Publishing Inc., Northampton, MA, 2013.


“Direct and disequilibrium effects on precipitation in transient climates.” D.J. McInerney E.J. Moyer. ACPD 12, 2012.

“Feasibility of U.S. renewable portfolio standards under cost caps and case study for Illinois.” S.D. Johnson and E.J. Moyer. Energy Policy 49, 2012.

“Global variations of HDO and HDO/H2O ratios in the UTLS derived from ACE-FTS satellite measurements.” W.J. Randel, E.J. Moyer, M. Park, E.J. Jensen, P.F. Bernath, K.A. Walker, C.D. Boone. J.Geophys. Res. 117, 2012.


“The Social Evaluation of Intergenerational Policies and Its Application to Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change.” L. Kaplow, E.J. Moyer, and D.A. Weisbach. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy 10, 2010.

“The influence of convection on the water isotopic composition of the TTL and tropical stratosphere.” D.S. Sayres, L. Pfister, T.F. Hanisco, E.J. Moyer, M. Legg, A.S. O’Brien, J.B. Smith, J.M. St. Clair, E.M. Weinstock, M. Witinski, J.G. Anderson. J. Geophys. Res. 115, 2010.


“Validation of the Harvard Lyman-alpha in situ water vapor instrument: Implications for the mechanisms that control stratospheric water vapor.”E.M. Weinstock, J.B. Smith, D.S. Sayres, J.V. Pittman, J.R. Spackman, E.J. Hintsa, T.F. Hanisco, E.J. Moyer, J.M. St. Clair, M.R. Sargent, J.G. Anderson. J. Geophys. Res. 114, 2009.


"Design considerations in high-sensitivity off-axis integrated cavity output spectroscopy." E.J. Moyer, D.S. Sayres, T.F. Hanisco, J.M. St. Clair, F.N. Keutsch, N.T. Allen, G.S. Engel, J.H. Kroll, J. Paul, and J.G. Anderson. App. Phys. B 92, 2008.

"A new photolysis laser-induced fluorescence instrument for the detection of H2O and HDO in the lower stratosphere." J.M. St. Clair, T.F. Hanisco, E.M. Weinstock, E.J. Moyer, D.S. Sayres, F.N. Keutsch, J.H. Kroll, J.N. Demusz, N.T. Allen, J.B. Smith, J.R. Spackman, and J.G. Anderson. Rev. Sci. Instrum. 79, 2008.

"Formation of large (similar or equal to 100 micron) ice crystals near the tropical tropopause" E.J. Jensen, L. Pfister, T.V. Bui, P. Lawson, B. Baker, Q. Mo, D. Baumgardner, E.M. Weinstock, J.B. Smith, E.J. Moyer, T.F. Hanisco, D.S. Sayres, J.M. St Clair, M.J. Alexander, O.B. Toon, J.A. Smith. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 8, 2008.